Juan Carmona
Varias veces he escrito sobre la incertidumbre, y en realidad eran meras intuiciones. Y ahora esas incertidumbres ya se han convertido en interrogantes. La lista es enorme. Casi inabarcable.
Yo no suelo meterme en política o escribir sobre política, siempre he querido ser «políticamente correcto», pero hay momentos en los que es muy difícil, casi imposible. Ahora, ¿cómo no meterse o insultar a Trump? Pero no lo voy a hacer. Además, parece ser que lo controlan y vigilan todo. Hasta te niegan el visado o te impiden la entrada en EEUU. Y aunque no tengo ninguna intención de ir a ese país, nunca se sabe. Y por el bien de todos, solo espero que acierte a salir del lio que ha montado en Irán, que tiene difícil arreglo. ¡incertidumbre total!
De lo que no siento incertidumbre ni ninguna duda es de las próximas elecciones andaluzas.
En general las elecciones no las gana nadie, pero quien está las pierde si tiene un rechazo evidente o la gente está cansada. No es el caso en Andalucía. Aquí parece que Juanma Moreno tiene un alto grado de aceptación; es simpático, educado, prudente, y no ha hecho mala gestión: no se ha quemado. Y por contra, María Jesús Montero, candidata a la fuerza, se la ve como una advenediza, aunque sea muy, muy, sevillana. Pedro Sánchez se la ha quitado de encima cuando ha tenido la oportunidad.
En menos de un mes lo sabremos.
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NOW THAT WE ARE, OR WERE, DOING WELL
I have written several times about uncertainty, though in truth they were only intuitions. Now those uncertainties have turned into questions. The list is enormous. Almost endless.
I don’t usually get involved in politics or write about it; I have always tried to be politically correct. But there are moments when that becomes very difficult, almost impossible. Now, how could one not get involved, or even criticise Trump? But I’m not going to. It seems everything is monitored and controlled these days. They might even deny you a visa or prevent you from entering the United States. And although I have no intention of going there, you never know. For everyone’s sake, I can only hope he manages to resolve the situation he has created in Iran, which will not be easy. Total uncertainty.
What I do not feel uncertain about, nor have any doubt over, is the upcoming Andalusian elections.
In general, elections are not so much won as lost: those in power lose them if there is clear rejection or if people grow tired. That does not seem to be the case in Andalusia. Here, Juanma Moreno appears to enjoy a high level of approval; he is likeable, polite, prudent, and has not governed badly, he has not worn himself out. By contrast, María Jesús Montero, a candidate by necessity, comes across as somewhat of an outsider, despite being very, very Sevillian. Pedro Sánchez seems to have moved her aside at the first opportunity.
We will know in less than a month.
